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Strategies & Market Trends
The Art of Investing
An SI Board Since August 1998
Posts SubjectMarks Bans Symbol
11333 192 1 PICK
Emcee:  Sun Tzu Type:  Moderated
Let's devote this forum to sharing the strategies and tactics for investors with an "intermediate" time horizon of two months to two years. There is no greater teacher than experience, so if you choose to graciously share your successes and failures in the market, or to discuss a current position you hold, may I suggest that you focus on explaining your investment criteria, and what would make you reconsider your position.

The distinction between investing and trading is subtle but significant. Here investing means a position that either you do not feel compelled to worry about over the next 6 - 60 months, or that if it takes a substantial hit (greater than 25% and ideally a 50% hit) then you will actually be excited about the opportunity to purchase more at those lower prices rather than worry about the hit to your portfolio. Another way to think about it is that if you were to take an extended vacation for a few months to somewhere without Internet, you'd be comfortable with your investment and it would not ruin your vacation to not be watching it.
Subjects that are relevant to this thread include:
(1) Why a stock or commodity is a great investment now (per above definition of investment)
(2) How you scan for your investments and ideas
(3) How you balance your portfolio and manage risk
(4) Where you think the market is headed (over the next 6 - 60 months) and how you'd play it.
(5) Overall market risk/danger signals
(6) How the valuation of your pick compares within its history, sector, and the broader market.
(7) Economic, sector, and company news - if and only if you put it in an investment context ([e.g. company XYZ is getting hammered due to poor EPS report, and is now selling at a historically low price-to-sales ratio)

Topics that are not welcomed:
(1) Daytrading technics
(2) Pumping/cheerleading a stock without any thoughtful analysis behind the post.

If you want to understand my trading/investing style, read the full thread below twice. He does a better job explaining my method than I have ever done myself. Then appreciate that I almost always follow the trend, unless and until I see a counter trend developing near my red/green lines. Those are the times where likely everyone has moved to one side of the boat and it may tip over.

Useful Resources:

Prof. Aswath Damodaran's investment valuation blog
Dr. Ed's Blog - Yardeni Research
Lyn Alden – Investment Strategy
How They Make Money
How to Analyze a 10-K
Research & Insights — Bridgewater Associates
Mohamed A. El-Erian
PIMCO Blog | PIMCO Blog
Newfound Research Blog
Ray Dalio - Bridgewater Associates
lazyportfolioetf.com
investopedia.com
evidenceinvestor.com
tipranks.com
zacks.com
simplywall.st
finviz.com
fknol.com
earningswhispers.com

marcellagerwerf.com

NOTE: US law by default treats all work as copyrighted. If you run a chat room or a newsletter, you must reference the ideas that you get from this board properly and give credit where it is due.


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ReplyMessage PreviewFromRecsPosted
11333Has any one heard of IVAI ? Ives Ultra AI Opportunities Inc. (NYSE: IVAI) AnSultan-Saturday
11332The new Tweeter terms of service :-O x.comSun Tzu-last Thursday
11331HYPR [graphic]Sun Tzu-last Thursday
11330Mendaera’s Focalist™ System Now Compatible with Butterfly’s Ultrasound-on-Chip™ Sultan3last Thursday
11329The plunging price of thought. Over the past three years, the cost of a given lenicewatch1last Wednesday
11328JPMorgan initiates AbCellera stock coverage with overweight rating ca.investingSultan-last Tuesday
11327QNT worth watching also I think-Postman-last Tuesday
11326ABCL Today.. And it is only Tuesday :) finance.yahoo.comSultan-last Tuesday
11325Almonty Issues Shareholder Letter and Provides Corporate Update finance.yahoo.cSultan-last Tuesday
113242026-09-29 10:55:00 GMT DJ Butterfly Network Price Target Announced at $15.00/ShSultan1last Tuesday
11323QNX and neueHCT Join Forces to Accelerate Global Intelligent Driving Deployment,Sultan2last Tuesday
11322Without exception, every time OpenAI makes an upgrade, they screw the pooch and Sun Tzu1last Monday
11321Thanks for the happy news. I just checked and I am up 1% today. Not bad, considSun Tzu-last Monday
11320Week has started well for ABCL and BB.. BB is recovering Friday's sell offSultan-last Monday
11319Hello Sultan, NVDA adopting QNX got my attention. QNX appears to be the real dsixty2nds1September 27
11318Remember how I said that going forward, government will increasingly limit exporSun Tzu-September 26
1131790+% of the times you should not fight the tape. The remaining 10% is where legeSun Tzu-September 25
11316On one hand, you have these bullish projections and decent performance by the coSultan-September 25
11315Q2 FY2027: Record QNX, a New Uber Design Win, and the 10-Q Confirms the Story IsSultan2September 25
11314What did you expect? It's maturing <g>Sun Tzu-September 24
11313I once thought AI acted like a petulant child, but now with all the hacking inciQone01September 24
11312Thanks! I used to follow you on another board-The Lion I believe-Postman1September 24
11311That is hilarious but kind of sad also.Postman-September 24
11310I once asked AI, people cheat and lie because they are lazy and have personal inSun Tzu-September 24
11309Welcome on board!Sun Tzu-September 24
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