| To: Real Man who wrote (23055) | 8/5/2024 8:57:22 AM | | From: Rarebird | | | | | I sure hope Powell isn't stupid enough to do an emergency rate cut today. It will make things worse and I put in a couple of big orders for T-Bills yesterday. |
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| To: Real Man who wrote (23063) | 8/5/2024 11:24:51 AM | | From: Rarebird | | | | I'm afraid this decline is just the tip of the iceberg as long as the Japanese Yen continues to rally. Leverage in the system was built on the Yen carry trade; now this trade is reversing. Plus, the 2 and 10 year are about to un-invert.
I agree with you there will be bounces, but they will now be met with selling the next day if not sooner. Lowering rates will only exacerbate the situation.
I sold off a little more than half of my remaining portfolio this morning.
People can say what they want, but I think we are in the early innings of this reverse carry trade and its implications. |
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| To: Rarebird who wrote (23035) | 8/5/2024 1:08:49 PM | | From: Investor2 | | | | 26-week T-Bill interest rate was quite a bit lower than my previous purchases.
------- Term: 26-Week High Rate: 4.700% Investment Rate*: 4.881% Price: $97.623889 Allotted at High: 97.35% Total Tendered: $192,536,093,100 Total Accepted: $75,615,418,100 Issue Date: 08/08/2024 Maturity Date: 02/06/2025 CUSIP: 912797MJ3 *Equivalent coupon-issue yield |
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