Strategies & Market Trends
Humble1 and Swing Trading Friends
An SI Board Since October 2009
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Welcome from Humble1

I want to thank Silicon Investor for this site.

Nothing said or done here by me or anyone should be construed as trading or investment advice! I am not certified or qualified as an analyst or a financial adviser. I am a private trader who tries to make money swing trading the daily SPX bars and selected equities, with help from friends.

H1&STF is for discussions about Time and Price for use in swing trading the SPX and selected equities. I consider gold and silver coins a valuable long term holding to be accumulated during sharp sell offs. All charts and discussions concerning gold and silver are welcomed.

Your posts and comments are encouraged. Whether bull or bear, they will be appreciated. Swing trading means trading in both directions.

Absolutely no foul language, or faux foul language and related acronyms, of any kind.

Good Luck!

"As above ...

... so below."

Astro Section:


This is an issue we covered greatly in the Forecast 2017 Book and last week’s special webinar. The inauguration of President Trump on January 20, 2017, at noon, occurred under a Mars/Saturn square at 23-24° of Sagittarius and Pisces (mutable signs). Mars is the god of war, and Saturn is resistance. Together, they are known as the planets of geopolitical tensions and possible military confrontations. Since it is an inauguration chart, it is in effect for the next four years. This Mars/Saturn squared made a grand square with the USA natal Mars/Neptune square at 20-22° of Gemini and Virgo, the other two mutable signs. Mars in a nation’s chart reflects its capacity for war and aggression. So immediately, we see the greater than usual prospects of a war during this administration’s first term. But with whom?

The current government of Iran was “born” April 1, 1979. On that day, Mars was at 25° Pisces and Neptune at 20° Sagittarius – within orb of the same mutable sign degrees as the 2017 inauguration chart and the USA natal chart. Once again, we see Mars highlighted, and forming a grand square to the USA chart. As if that isn’t enough, president Trump’s natal chart shows he was born under a lunar eclipse at 21-22° of Gemini-Sagittarius, the same mutable degrees. But wait! The solar eclipse of August 21, 2017, cuts across the center of the United States and is conjunct Mars in the skies – AND it falls on Donald Trump’s natal Mars/Ascendant conjunction in 26-29° of Leo.

Speaking of war, I expect to be writing about this possibility several times over the next several months, for the solar eclipse of August 21 will conjoin Mars in late Leo – and on USA President Donald Trump’s natal Mars and Ascendant. For those who don’t know the language of astrology, that is a powerful, forceful, and aggressive dynamic. If not contained, it could lead to disputes and an increase in hostilities throughout the world, involving the USA.

- Ray Merriman

Interesting Upcoming Dates Which May Confluence With H1 Timing

We will now keep in mind what happened as Venus squared Saturn on Friday, January 27 +/- 1 day, because that aspect will occur again, but much stronger, on April 8 and April 21, a period during which Saturn turns retrograde (April 5) and Venus turns direct (April 15). Not only is the Venus/Saturn square a strong geocosmic correlation to reversals in financial markets, but both Saturn and Venus stationary are even stronger. - RM

Jupiter/Square Pluto

With Pluto ruling taxes too, in square to Jupiter (on 3/30/17), and with Venus still in retrograde, the probability of over-estimating the ease of picking low hanging fruit (tax reform) is just as great now as it was with reforming the health care act. - RM

(The 3rd square is on 8/5/17, the Lunar Eclipse is on 8/7/17, and a big Brad is on 8/9/17. - H1)


Counting a 12yr interval from point B of Lindsay’s Long Cycle on 3/7/05 forecasts a significant low in the period May-November 2017. However, the 1/3/17 Market Update laid out a forecast for a significant high (using both a 15yr interval and Basic Movements) in the period April-August 2017. - Ed Carlson

With the failure to see the expected correction in our longer term forecast, this is probably a good time to review that forecast.

A 15yr interval points to a top sometime in the period from September 2016 until the end of August 2017.

We previously found that we can count both a sub-normal basic advance from the August 2015 low and a short basic advance from the February 2016 low and they both terminate within the 15yr interval. The sub-normal basic advance forecasts a high in the period from 3/31/17-10/18/17. The short basic advance forecasts a high in the period 5/15/17-8/11/17.

Conclusion: We look for an important top in the period 3/31/17-8/29/17.

- Ed Carson. Seattle Technical Advisors

Saturn is still in its waning trine aspect to Uranus, December 2016-November 2017. In all four cases in the past, this 45-year cycle has coincided with long-term cycle crests. - RM

Lindsay Pattern via Hirsch (H1: 3/1 works as point 21, with point 22 hopefully imminent. Maybe RM Date 4/21, an inside day, finished up point 22. Note the little parabola starting near the 4/13 candle low.)

A Cup of Tea

Nan-in, a Japanese master during the Meiji era (1868-1912), received a university professor who came to inquire about Zen. Nan-in served tea. He poured his visitor's cup full, and then kept on pouring. The professor watched the overflow until he no longer could restrain himself. "It is overfull. No more will go in!" "Like this cup," Nan-in said, "you are full of your own opinions and speculations. How can I show you Zen unless you first empty your cup?"

Existential Crisis Window (military? a/o political? a/o economic?): 10/5/17<->10/13/17

Time/Price/H1-Wave Blab:

1. the 3/27 low added yet one more solid piece of evidence that we are in a three wave h1-wave pattern off of the 2/11/16 low.

2. the third wave up is now in progress and we are heading for spx 2705 (+/-1)!

3. H1-Waves target SPX 2706 (One of 5+ good hits in multiple time frames on SPX 2706, including: Message 31080180 ):

Wave-A: 1810->2194 = 384

Wave-C: 2322 + 384 = 2706

4. There are several good Time targets but Price will rule. Needed: a print above SPX 2700.

5. 6/9 (or 6/16) is the first key high candidate with distribution secondary highs (maybe higher) on 8/11 and/or 9/1 and/or 9/5.

Then: SPLAT!
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ReplyMessage PreviewFromPosted
25828June hike is in the market (mostly). Good set-up for a rally into 6/9 a/o 6/16, humble13 AM
25827I was just thinking that too! Bobrobert b furmanyesterday
25826Slap down from just under the ATH on 3/1. About as predictable as the sun cominghumble1yesterday
25825Fuel for future lift off - not to mention short interest! Bobrobert b furmanTuesday
25824The Left Behind Global fund managers drop US equity exposure to a 9-year low. Chumble1Tuesday
25822Vertical until 5/3/17? (TM) There are several hits on this one: cycles, news, ahumble1Tuesday
25821I knew I should have put a TM by that. LOL You carry the story and we'll borobert b furmanMonday
25820yes, i do. hey, i learned some of this from you. your line is my line now. :)-humble1Monday
25819Hey, Your stealing my line! clx and 2cs supportive of more up. BUY THE DIP!!\robert b furmanMonday
25818upside breakout on healthy volume with a bull cross (finally!) on the macd. as ghumble1Monday
25816can't find anybody but the h1'ers happy about this impressive breakouthumble1Monday
25815H1 Measuring Gap: Another Hit On SPX 2706 The Humble1 Trading System (tm) welcohumble1Monday
25814WOW! Futes just touched 2370, up 25. RM has a BIG hit with his 3rd Venus sq Satuhumble1Sunday
25813Robert Prechter (interviewing himself at his site and thanking himself for the ihumble1Sunday
25812MS: Global Fear Index [graphic]humble1Sunday
25811AAII Buy Signal(s): Chart Shows History Of Explosive Rallies With This Set-up humble1last Friday
25810very nice day. could we have another, please? the 4/13 low seems solid. swinginghumble1last Friday
25809stockcharts.combernielApril 19
25808today's minimum goal: get above and close above the 50. this week's minihumble1April 19
25807Hike: Forget June; Think September (gross, gundlach and fellow travelers wallohumble1April 19
25806JP: pretty amazing chart, that one. those cycle hits ... wow!humble1April 18
25805 NDX Fibonacci Fractal Projections. The 3 most impulse fractal advances and tJohn PApril 18
25804A really excellent post H1.... It was really amazing how the VIX got above the John PApril 17
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